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Canada's Trade War Tracker

THE FIGHT FOR CANADA'S ECONOMY

Tracking every tariff, every counterpunch, every impact — province by province. Independent. Canadian. Updated daily.

Updated April 25, 2026 · Data sourced from Government of Canada, USTR, CBSA, court filings
Annual Trade at Risk
$700B+
US-Canada bilateral
CUSMA-Protected
~88%
Canadian exports
Household Impact
$1,800/yr
Estimated avg (BoC/think tanks)
Steel/Aluminum Tariff
50%
No CUSMA exemption
Jobs Affected
32,500+
Steel + aluminum direct
IEEPA Refunds
$166B
Pending disbursement
⚡ Estimated Cumulative Cost to Canadian Households
$0
CAD
Day 0 of the trade warSince March 4, 2025+$890/second
Methodology
$1,800/yr avg per household (BoC / think tanks) × 15.6M Canadian households. Household costs only — GDP contraction, investment freezes and business losses not included. This is the floor.
📡 Daily Briefing

TODAY'S TRADE WAR UPDATE

AI-generated from verified sources · Editorially reviewed for accuracy and insight · Saturday, April 25, 2026

Generating today's briefing...
🗺️ The Map

EVERY PROVINCE HAS A TARIFF STORY

Click any province or territory to see how tariffs are hitting your region.

🥊 Canada's Counterpunch

HOW CANADA IS FIGHTING BACK

Every retaliatory tariff, trade ban, support program and diplomatic move — most recent first.

🇨🇦Apr 22, 2026
Carney Wins Majority — Stronger Hand
PM Carney wins majority government running on a Canada-first trade platform. "We are not a supplicant" — Carney. Majority gives Canada a more unified negotiating position heading into the July 1 CUSMA review. New trade advisory council announced.
📜Apr 16, 2026
Canada Seeks Comprehensive Trade Deal
LeBlanc says Canada wants a full agreement, not one-off sector deals. Refuses partial agreements leaving steel, aluminum and autos for separate negotiations. Position strengthened by Carney's election majority.
⚖️Apr 15, 2026
6-Month Manufacturing Input Pause
Canada announces 6-month remission on retaliatory tariffs for specified manufacturing inputs (~April 15 – Oct 15, 2026). Performance-based automotive remission for companies maintaining Canadian production. LETL begins accepting applications.
🤝Mar 6, 2026
Talks Resume After 4-Month Freeze
Trade Minister LeBlanc meets USTR Greer in Washington — first formal contact since Oct 2025 breakdown. No formal negotiation process announced. USTR later states Canada is 'lagging behind' Mexico.
📋Jan 2026
Manufacturing Remissions Expire
General manufacturing remissions on US steel/aluminum inputs expire. Auto, aerospace and public health sector remissions extended through Jun 2026. Forces manufacturers to source non-US or absorb costs.
🔩Dec 2025
Steel Derivatives Protection
Canada imposes 25% tariff on steel derivatives from ALL countries (not just US) — doors, windows, fasteners. Non-FTA steel over-quota tariffs set at 50%. Quotas slashed to 20% of 2024 levels.
⚖️Sep 2025
Strategic Tariff Rollback
Canada removes retaliatory tariffs on most consumer goods to ease domestic costs. Steel, aluminum and auto counter-tariffs remain. Pragmatic move to reduce self-inflicted pain while keeping strategic pressure.
🛡️Jun 2025
Federal Work-Sharing Expanded
Government expands Work-Sharing program eligibility to cover tariff-affected workers. Supports up to 26,000 workers. Includes seasonal workers and non-profits.
🍁Apr 2025
Buy Canadian Campaign Launches
Federal and provincial governments launch coordinated 'Buy Canadian' campaigns. Consumer sentiment shifts measurably — polling shows 67% of Canadians actively avoiding US products.
🚗Apr 2025
25% Auto Counter-Tariff
Canada imposes 25% tariff on non-CUSMA US-origin vehicles entering Canada. Targets American brands assembled outside CUSMA compliance.
🍷Mar 25, 2025
LCBO Pulls All US Alcohol
Ontario's LCBO removes 3,600 US alcohol products from 35 states. $965M/yr in sales wiped out overnight. BC, Nova Scotia and other provinces follow with similar measures.
🔴Mar 4, 2025
25% Counter-Tariffs Activated
Canada imposes 25% retaliatory tariffs on US steel, aluminum and consumer goods. Immediate response to IEEPA tariffs taking effect.
The Escalation Record

CANADA vs. UNITED STATES — MOVE BY MOVE

Every escalation, retaliation and pivot since March 4, 2025. Tap any card to expand.

12
🍁 Canada
VS
10
🇺🇸 United States
Canada's Counterpunches
Apr 22, 2026
🇨🇦 Carney Wins Majority — Stronger Hand
diplomatic
Apr 16, 2026
📜 Canada Seeks Comprehensive Trade Deal
diplomatic
Apr 15, 2026
⚖️ 6-Month Manufacturing Input Pause
adjust
Mar 6, 2026
🤝 Talks Resume After 4-Month Freeze
diplomatic
Jan 2026
📋 Manufacturing Remissions Expire
adjust
Dec 2025
🔩 Steel Derivatives Protection
tariff
Sep 2025
⚖️ Strategic Tariff Rollback
adjust
Jun 2025
🛡️ Federal Work-Sharing Expanded
support
Apr 2025
🍁 Buy Canadian Campaign Launches
campaign
Apr 2025
🚗 25% Auto Counter-Tariff
tariff
Mar 25, 2025
🍷 LCBO Pulls All US Alcohol
ban
Mar 4, 2025
🔴 25% Counter-Tariffs Activated
tariff
US Escalations
Apr 20, 2026
💰 IEEPA Refund Portal (CAPE) Goes Live
legal
Apr 10, 2026
⚖️ CIT Hears Section 122 Challenges
legal
Apr 2, 2026
⚙️ Metals Tariffs Restructured: 50% on Full Value
escalation
Apr 2, 2026
💊 Pharma Tariffs: 100% on Patented Drugs
escalation
Mar 2026
🔍 Section 301 Probes Launched
escalation
Feb 24, 2026
⚖️ Section 122 Enacted: 10%
escalation
May 2025
📦 De Minimis Eliminated
escalation
Apr 3, 2025
🚗 Auto Tariffs: 25%
escalation
Mar 12, 2025
⚙️ Steel & Aluminum Doubled to 50%
escalation
Mar 4, 2025
🚨 IEEPA Emergency Tariffs: 25%
escalation
Canada's 12 responses to 10 US escalations reflects a strategy of measured, targeted retaliation — not matching every move dollar-for-dollar.
🔍 Cross-Border Intelligence

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOUR WALLET

Practical impacts on shopping, travel, jobs and daily life in Canada.

📦Online Shopping from the US
Changed
De minimis duty-free threshold eliminated. ALL cross-border purchases now face tariffs regardless of value. That $20 Amazon.com order? Duties apply. Ship to a Canadian address or use a cross-border service that handles customs.
🛒Grocery Prices
Up 3–8%
Imported produce, packaged goods and anything with US-sourced ingredients costs more. Tariff pass-through to grocery shelves is estimated at 3–8% on affected items. Buy Canadian alternatives where possible — many exist.
💵The Canadian Dollar
Weakened
Trade uncertainty has pushed the loonie down 5–10% against the US dollar. Your money buys less in the US than 18 months ago. Factor this into any cross-border travel, shopping or business.
Gas Prices
+$0.05–$0.15/L
10% tariff on Canadian energy exports affects the broader North American energy market. Pump prices have increased on both sides of the border in some regions.
✈️Travelling to the US
More Expensive
Weaker dollar + higher US prices = significantly reduced purchasing power. A weekend in Buffalo costs 15–20% more than it did in 2024. Border wait times also up at major crossings.
🚗Car Buying
+$3,000–$12,200
Whether built in Canada, the US or imported — car prices are up across the board. Parts cross the border up to 8 times during assembly. Every crossing adds cost. New car prices reflect cumulative tariff impact.
🏠Home Renovations
Up 10–25%
Steel products (50% on primary, 25% on derivatives), lumber (+10% Sec 232 on existing duties), cabinets and vanities (25%). April 2 metals restructuring lowered some derivative costs but raised primary metal costs. A $50K renovation now costs $55–62K.
💼Your Job
Sector-Dependent
Manufacturing, resources and export-dependent industries are most exposed. Check if your employer qualifies for federal Work-Sharing support. Tech, healthcare and domestic services sectors are less directly impacted.
✊ What You Can Do

DON'T JUST WATCH — ACT

Practical steps for Canadians to protect themselves and push for better outcomes.

🍁Buy Canadian First
Substitute US imports with Canadian alternatives. Groceries, alcohol, clothing, building materials — Canadian options exist for most categories. The Made in Canada Directory (ic.gc.ca) lists domestic manufacturers.
📋Check CUSMA Status Before Buying
Not all tariffs apply equally. CUSMA-compliant goods move duty-free. Ask suppliers about CUSMA status — it can save thousands on vehicles, equipment and materials.
🏛️Contact Your MP
MPs track constituent concerns. Tell them which tariffs hit your household, business or community. Be specific about dollar amounts. This directly shapes Canada's negotiating priorities.
🛡️Check Work-Sharing Eligibility
If your employer is reducing hours due to tariff impacts, the expanded Work-Sharing program covers up to 26 weeks. Includes seasonal workers and non-profits. Apply through Service Canada.
🔄Diversify Supply Chains
For businesses: audit your US supply chain exposure now. EU (under CETA), UK, Asian alternatives exist. The tariff war has shown that single-source dependency is a strategic risk.
💰Understand the Refund Landscape
The $166B IEEPA refund applies to US importers, not Canadian exporters directly — but your US buyers may have paid tariffs that are now being refunded. That changes your negotiating position.
📊 The Numbers

DEEP DATA ON TARIFFCHARTS.COM

Our companion site has the full global picture — charts, scenarios, sector breakdowns and AI-powered tariff lookup.

Basket of Tariffs™
Compare effective rates across all 4 regions
Scenario Modeler
4 scenarios: what happens next?
Escalation Timeline
26 events from Feb 2025 to now
Sector Explorer
10 sectors, 4-region comparison
Consumer Impact
How tariffs affect your daily spending
Full Data Tables
Every tariff rate, every authority, every date
Key Primary Sources
GOVCanada.ca — Canada's Response to US Tariffs
Official federal counter-tariff list, support programs and policy updates
SMECFIB — Canada-US Trade War Hub
Small business impact surveys, advocacy updates and practical guides for SMEs
LEGALReed Smith — Trump 2.0 Tariff Tracker
Live attorney-maintained tracker: country rates, Section 301, IEEPA refund process
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🍁 TariffWars.ca — Canada's trade war tracker
Not legal/financial advice · Updated April 25, 2026 · Global data: TariffCharts.com →